This is a book about the technologies that will shape our lives in various ways in the near future and in the coming 100 years. It's all extrapolated from the current front line of technology and from new
knowledge that is anticipated to be exploited soon. Michio Kaku is a
physicist who has made a name as a popularizer of science, through his
books and as host of various TV shows. Physics of the Future
is based on interviews with scientists and people who are involved in
developing and trying out the discussed technologies.
The title is a bit misleading – it's clearly chosen because the book
is in some ways a sequel to Kaku's Physics of the Impossible,
which discusses seemingly impossible things people do in fiction and
what it would take to make some of them possible. Physics of the
Future is not about what we will learn in physics in the future.
Not even only about how physics will be applied in the future. It's
about computers, robots, medicine, economics, energy and, yes, about
space travel. Every chapter is divided into three parts: the current
state of the art, what we might be able to do around mid century, and
visions for the "far future" in about 100 years.
Many of the ideas are discussed in the light of two principles:
Moore's law and "the caveman principle". Moore's law states roughly
that computers double in capacity every two years. At some point in
the not so far future Moore's law will break down because it meets the
physical limits of how small we can make our integrated circuits. The
caveman principle is just that people are basically the same as in the
stone age. Our preferences and needs are rooted in that human nature,
and this will shape how we implement our technologies and shape our
future.
Of course things will not play out exactly the way described in the
book, and this is discussed in the introduction. The book is about
what we might do, based on what we know now, and this is the available
information that we need to work with when imagining the future. A
reader of popular science magazines might already be familiar with
most of the things and ideas discussed here (I found this especially
true for the chapter about space travel), but here a lot is collected
in the same place in a nice package where you can start to appreciate
how various advances can work together. Someone who is new to all of
this might find the book fairly dense, but still readable.
Michio Kaku is clearly enthusiastic over the subject, and very
optimistic. It's a mostly bright future he describes, where we use our
collected wits and deal constructively with the problems caused by
global warming and the end of oil. I actually feel that the positive
picture he paints sometimes borders on the naive, when he glosses over
the ethical problems with some of the inventions he describes. Yes,
there are problems with creating entities with minds and make them
serve us. And what responsibilities do we have to our "designer
babies"? (As a friend of mine stated it: how fun is it 30 years later,
when your genes are really out of fashion?) I understand that these
discussions may be beside the point and that Kaku doesn't want to fill
the book with them, but I miss acknowledgments that ethics can be
relevant and important in shaping the future.
Some comments about economics, history and other relevant subjects far
from physics also seem a bit oversimplified. I'm sure that Michio Kaku
has done his research and that he has fact checked everything against
experts, but being one myself I know that physicists are not
necessarily experts of everything, and I reserve the right to be a bit
skeptical about his historical analyses. Nevertheless I enjoy the
enthusiasm and the optimism, because it makes it easy and entertaining
to read the book. I put many question marks in the margins of the
discussions about for example how exactly Europe came to be more
successful than China and the Ottoman empire, but that doesn't spoil
the rest of the book.
Perhaps the least successful chapter is the last one, "A day in the
life in 2100", which is intended to illustrate what life might be like
when we have access to all of the things described in the preceding
chapters. It reads like science fiction from the 1930's, only with
updated gadgets, and leaves me feeling unsatisfied when I put the book
down. Michio Kaku is a good writer of popular science, but not as
talented at fiction, and for this story did not add anything of value.
I have read enough good SF to have little patience with bad SF. This
brings me to my real problem with reading this book, which is not a
failure of the book but rather of me as a reader. My reading mind is
shaped by decades on a high-SF-diet. The thing that keeps nagging me
through the book is that the author seems to be completely unaware of
science fiction literature after about 1982 or so. I know, it's very
unfair to judge a book because it fails to do something the author
didn't intend at all in the first place. (Actually, I hate it when
people do that. I stopped reading reviews on online bookstores because
of that.) I just cannot help it.
You see, I keep thinking of the perfect examples of how everything
mentioned in this book is discussed in science fiction, new and old.
If you talk about super intelligent mice I want to mention Flowers
for Algernon by Daniel Keyes. If you talk about recreating
Neanderthals I want to mention Neverness by David Zindell. If
you talk about regrowing lost limbs I think of Have Space Suit,
Will Travel by Robert A. Heinlein. If you talk about augmented
reality (digital information superimposed on your senses) I think of
The Golden Age by John C. Wright and The Quantum
Thief by Hannu Rajaniemi. If you talk about extended life spans I
want to mention the treatment of that in the Mars trilogy by Kim
Stanley Robinson. When it comes to nanotechnology, why not mention
The Dervish House by Ian McDonald, which I recently reviewed
here.
This list just goes on forever.
Michio Kaku instead takes most of his examples from ancient mythology
and talks about "the power of gods". The rest of his illustrating
examples come from Star Trek and SF blockbusters, which he seems to
like but not take very seriously. That is fair enough but leaves me
feeling a bit frustrated.
I think I personally would have preferred to read a book about
technologies in fairly current science fiction literature with
discussions of if and when these might be available in reality, and
the science behind. The book I wish I had is an updated version of the
classic The Science in Science Fiction, edited by Peter
Nicholls. It was published in 1983 and is still readable, but it's too
old to contain cyberpunk, new space opera, and a lot of cool
scientific ideas which have been commonplace in SF recently – such as
many of the things discussed in Physics of the Future. I wish
someone would write an updated version of The Science in Science
Fiction. I actually wish that I could write it myself (something
that I could not do alone, that's for sure).
It's not Michio Kaku's fault that I feel frustrated by this.
Physics of the Future is entertaining and I think the author
succeeds with what he has set out to do: discussing future
technologies. Thinking about it, I wonder if it would not also be a
nice source of inspiration for SF writers.
(By the way: yes, it bothers me that my quick list of science fiction
examples contains no works by women. That is something worth
discussing.)